[R] statistics - hypothesis testing question
Pfaff, Bernhard Dr.
Bernhard_Pfaff at fra.invesco.com
Fri Sep 14 10:41:49 CEST 2007
Hello Mark,
in addition and complementing the already provided answers to your
question. You want to consider the J-test, too. For an outline and the
pitfalls of this test, see:
http://citeseer.ist.psu.edu/cache/papers/cs/24954/http:zSzzSzwww.econ.qu
eensu.cazSzfacultyzSzdavidsonzSzbj4-noam.pdf/bootstrap-j-tests-of.pdf
Best,
Bernhard
>
>I estimate two competing simple regression models, A and B
>where the LHS
>is the same in both cases but the predictor is different (
>I handle the intercept issue based on other postings I have seen ). I
>estimate the two models on a weekly basis over 24 weeks.
>So, I end up with 24 RSquaredAs and 24 RsquaredBs, so essentally 2 time
>series of Rsquareds. This doesn't have to be necessarily
>thought of as a
>time series problem but, is there a usual way, given the Rsquared data,
>to test
>
>H0 : Rsquared B = Rsquared A versus H1 : Rsquared B > Rsquared A
>
>so that I can map the 24 R squared numbers into 1 statistic. Maybe
>that's somehow equivalent to just running 2 big regressions over the
>whole 24 weeks and then calculating a statistic from those based on
>those regressions ?
>
>I broke things up into 24 weeks because I was thinking that the
>stability of the performance difference of the two models could be
>examined over time. Essentially these are simple time series
>regressions
>X_t = B*X_t-1 + epsilon so I always need to consider
>whether any type of behavior is stable. But now I am thinking
>that, if
>I just want one overall number, then maybe I should be considering all
>the data simultaneously ?
>
>In a nutshell, I am looking for any suggestions on the best
>way to test
>whether Model B is better than Model A where
>
>Model A : X_t = Beta*X_t-1 + epsilon
>
>Model B : X_t = Betastar*Xstar_t-1 + epsilonstar
>
>
>Thanks fo your help.
>--------------------------------------------------------
>
>This is not an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to
>buy/se...{{dropped}}
>
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